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After a recent period of unprecedented heat, the UK is expected to experience cooler conditions this week. Last week saw new June temperature records established on three consecutive days, culminating in an impressive 37.3°C recorded at Santon Downham in Suffolk, comfortably surpassing the previous June high of 35.6°C set back in 1976. However, a shift in the weather pattern means temperatures will decline as winds from the Atlantic bring lower temperatures and some rainfall.
The intense high-pressure system responsible for last week’s soaring temperatures has now shifted eastward over Europe, which has allowed cooler south-westerly Atlantic air to move in across the UK. Monday will generally feature dry weather with sunny intervals, particularly warming the Midlands and eastern England to a more moderate 24 or 25°C. By Tuesday, the arrival of low pressure will introduce showers or prolonged rain, especially across northern and western regions, with the possibility of heavy and thundery downpours.
Midweek will see another Atlantic low-pressure system approach, bringing increased winds and rain primarily to Northern Ireland, while Scotland will see an end to its morning showers and drier conditions through Thursday. Southern parts of the UK, especially the southeast, are likely to experience higher pressure and remain mostly dry, potentially leading to a dry start for major outdoor events like Wimbledon. Temperatures here will reach about 25 to 26°C, which—although above average—still marks a notable drop from the previous week’s extreme heat.
Looking ahead to the weekend and early next week, there is potential for high pressure originating near the Azores to settle over the UK and parts of western Europe. This could create conditions conducive to another heatwave, possibly resembling the intensity of the record-breaking spell recently experienced. Some weather models indicate the possibility of temperatures climbing back up to around 35°C in southeastern areas. Experts note that heatwaves are occurring with increased frequency and intensity due to human-driven climate change, and the long-term outlook suggests further significant heat events are likely through July and August
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