Easter holidaymakers switching from Dubai to Spain as flights fill up

Easter holidaymakers switching from Dubai to Spain as flights fill up

The ongoing conflict involving Iran has led to a notable shift in travel plans among British holidaymakers. According to several travel companies, many are reconsidering or canceling their trips to Dubai and the surrounding Middle Eastern region, opting instead for destinations perceived as safer and more stable. This growing uncertainty has caused disruptions in passenger flights across the Middle East, accompanied by official travel advisories warning against journeys to large parts of the region, including the United Arab Emirates.

As a result, holiday bookings for countries near Iran—such as Turkey, Cyprus, and Egypt—have seen a decline. Conversely, interest is increasing in destinations like Portugal, Italy, Spain, the Caribbean, Mauritius, and the United States, with some airports experiencing flight bookings surpassing last year’s levels. British Airways, for instance, has paused several Middle Eastern routes through to the end of May due to “continuing uncertainty” and instability affecting airspace. Flights to Dubai, Bahrain, Tel Aviv, and Amman are among those temporarily canceled.

Travel industry specialists are highlighting rising demand for destinations that offer reassurance and easy access, away from the volatile Middle East. Neil Swanson, managing director of TUI UK and Ireland, notes that British travelers are gravitating towards familiar locations such as Spain, Portugal, Greece, and Cape Verde. Additionally, the Caribbean, particularly the Dominican Republic and Jamaica, along with Thailand’s Phuket and India’s Goa, are also attracting an increasing number of bookings. For example, travel provider Thomas Cook reported a 42% surge in Portuguese holiday bookings during the two weeks leading to mid-March, with the Balearic and Canary Islands also seeing significant increases.

Meanwhile, destinations like Turkey, Greece, Cyprus, and Egypt are experiencing slower booking activity and increased cancellations. Steve Heapy, CEO of Jet2, commented on the reduced demand for Cyprus and Turkey. UK government advice reflects this caution, not ruling out the risk of terrorist attacks in Cyprus and warning of potential regional escalations causing travel disruptions. While some travel restrictions apply to parts of Egypt and Turkey, major tourist areas remain open to visitors. Gloria Guevara, president of the World Travel & Tourism Council, pointed out that while demand for Turkey remains strong, some travelers are postponing trips pending further developments in the Middle East.

Despite these challenges, industry leaders believe that the travel sector will recover. Dame Irene Hays of Hays Travel observed a decrease in bookings and an increase in cancellations or rescheduling, particularly to destinations requiring Middle Eastern transfers such as the Maldives, India, and Mauritius. She added that short-haul European destinations like Spain and Portugal are currently benefiting the most, but that the appeal of long-haul trips to places like the Maldives and Mauritius will endure.

Looking ahead, the UK Civil Aviation Authority notes that last year saw record-breaking flight numbers, and many expect 2026 to exceed those totals. Manchester Airport Group has reported flights operating at near 90% capacity, up from 80% the previous year, limiting flexibility for travelers seeking alternatives to the Middle East. Passenger numbers are projected to increase by 10–20% over last year, with substantial rises in flights to cities such as Dublin, Barcelona, Paris, Alicante, and Copenhagen. However, recent US and Israeli airstrikes on Iran have caused a sharp increase in oil and jet fuel prices, prompting airlines including Qantas, Air New Zealand, and Thai Airways to announce fare hikes. British Airways’ parent company IAG has attempted to mitigate short-term price shocks by purchasing fuel in advance.

Despite geopolitical tensions, affordability remains a key concern for travelers. Seamus McCauley of Holiday Extras suggests that many holidaymakers will prioritize destinations offering good value and warm climates, steering clear of conflict-affected areas. This trend indicates a preference for safe, cost-effective holidays distant from Middle Eastern instability over the coming months

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