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As the summer began, the UK experienced multiple heatwaves, but lately, cooler and wetter conditions have prevailed. Storm Floris intensified this feeling when it swept through the country on Monday, making it seem like autumn had arrived early. However, there is still hope for those on summer break as forecasts indicate potential bursts of warmth in the upcoming weeks, particularly in the south and east of England.
The change in weather can be attributed to the positioning of the jet stream. During the initial part of summer, the jet stream remained to the north of the UK, allowing high pressure systems to dominate, keeping rain clouds at bay and leading to drought conditions. This resulted in the introduction of hosepipe bans and wildfires breaking out. Subsequently, the jet stream has shifted closer to the UK, allowing low-pressure systems to bring breezier conditions, rain bands to the north and west, and showers elsewhere.
Looking ahead, the presence of Tropical Storm Dexter in the west Atlantic could play a role in altering weather patterns in the UK. While Dexter itself may not directly impact the UK, its movement could contribute to the formation of a high-pressure ridge over the country, leading to warmer air being drawn in, especially across southern and eastern regions. Temperatures may soar into the high 20s Celsius in certain areas, indicating a potential return to summer-like conditions.
The exact trajectory of Dexter will determine the duration of the warmth and the proximity to heatwave thresholds in different areas. However, it is anticipated that the presence of high pressure over the UK will result in generally drier conditions compared to recent weeks, though isolated showers may still occur. Furthermore, weather models suggest additional periods of heat, with southern regions possibly experiencing temperatures exceeding 30 Celsius. Overall, August temperatures across the UK are expected to be above-normal, aligning with broader climate warming trends and prevailing weather patterns
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