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As millions prepare to mark Guy Fawkes Night on Thursday and Diwali on 8 November, the weather forecast calls for dry yet chilly conditions across most of the UK. After a stormy finish to October, a high-pressure system is settling in and expected to prevail throughout the week. This will bring generally settled and dry weather, with a combination of cloud cover and occasional sunny intervals during the daytime hours.
While most regions will enjoy dry conditions, some showers might affect eastern parts of Scotland and England on Wednesday. This is due to an easterly wind carrying moisture inland from the North Sea coasts. However, the western areas are predicted to experience the best of the sunshine. For those planning bonfires and fireworks, soggy kindling is unlikely to be a problem.
Thursday evening is set to be cold, so bundling up will be important if you are out to watch fireworks. Temperatures are expected to fall to mid-single digits, which is typical for this time of year but noticeably colder than the previous Bonfire Night. For instance, in 2025, several southern UK locations recorded temperatures that did not drop below 14°C, making it the warmest Bonfire Night on record for places like Southampton and Teddington. There is also a chance of frost in sheltered northern areas, with fog likely to develop overnight, especially under clear skies and with light easterly winds.
Looking ahead, the settled weather is forecast to hold into the weekend, supporting ongoing celebrations with dry and chilly conditions. Although the high pressure will slowly shift eastward, it will remain the dominant feature through Saturday and Sunday. This means more dry weather, but fog may become more widespread as the winds ease and skies clear further. Early signs suggest that next week could see a return of low-pressure systems arriving from the west, though there remains some uncertainty about how this will unfold
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