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Temperatures across the UK are anticipated to fall during the upcoming week, bringing a close to the recent spell of unseasonably warm autumn weather. By Wednesday, daytime highs are expected to range from around 11 degrees Celsius (52 degrees Fahrenheit) in northern Scotland up to 17 degrees Celsius (63 degrees Fahrenheit) in southern England. This change will contrast sharply with the previous week’s summer-like conditions, where temperatures reached as high as 28 degrees Celsius. Should the temperature remain below 20 degrees anywhere in the UK, it will mark the first such occurrence since mid-June.
The end of the weekend will remain relatively mild in many areas before cooler conditions set in. Southern parts of Wales, the Midlands, East Anglia, and southern England may experience some lingering mist or fog during Sunday morning. After this clears, bright spells of sunshine are expected to follow. However, northern regions including north Wales and northern England will see more cloud cover with a chance of occasional light rain. Northern Ireland is forecast to be mostly cloudy with outbreaks of light rain and drizzle. In contrast, western Scotland is likely to experience the wettest conditions, with heavy rain and possible wind gusts exceeding 40 miles per hour in the far north-west. Temperatures in many parts of the UK will still be slightly above average, potentially reaching 23 degrees Celsius in sunny areas of southern England.
From Monday through to Wednesday, a weather front is expected to move erratically southwards across the UK, bringing spells of rain mainly affecting northern and western parts of the country. Eastern regions should see lighter amounts of precipitation. On Tuesday night and into Wednesday, heavier rain accompanied by thunder and lightning could occur in southern and south-eastern England. As the rain passes and cooler air settles in, daytime temperatures by midweek are forecast to hover around or just below the seasonal average. Some places may experience chilly nights, with frost possible in susceptible areas.
Autumn, which meteorologically includes September, October, and November, is now one-third complete. Data from the Met Office indicate that the season has been warmer than usual so far, with September ranking as the joint-fourth warmest month on record for the UK overall. The month had a mean temperature of 14.6 degrees Celsius, approximately 1.6 degrees above the long-term average. Looking ahead, forecasts suggest that autumn will continue to be warmer and wetter than usual. There is also an increased likelihood of stormy weather later in the season, partly influenced by the development of a very strong El Niño event in the Pacific. Overall, the UK is on track to record one of its warmest years according to the Met Office
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