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Temperatures in the UK have eased following last week’s record-breaking heat, yet indications suggest that another spell of warmer weather may be on the horizon as July commences. Forecasts point to a possible rise to mid-30-degree Celsius temperatures across England and Wales next week. Despite this, the Met Office has cautioned that although the upcoming weather is expected to be warmer than usual, it is uncertain how intense the heat will become. Deputy chief forecaster Tony Wisson commented, “Although a return to heatwave conditions is looking increasingly likely for some areas, the likelihood of such extreme high temperatures or high levels of humidity as last week is currently low.”
Last Friday, Lingwood in Norfolk recorded a provisional new UK heat record for June, reaching 37.7°C (99.9°F). This surpassed the previous June record of 35.6°C that had stood since 1957 and was matched again in 1976. The intense heat wasn’t confined to the UK; at least eight European countries experienced new national temperature highs last week, with severe heat warnings still active in parts of eastern Europe.
As July begins — traditionally the hottest month of summer in the UK by average maximum temperatures — forecasters have released a summer outlook forecasting above-average temperatures with an increased risk of heatwaves and their associated impacts. High pressure systems are expected to move from the south-west towards western Europe and England by the end of the week, potentially pushing temperatures into the mid to high 20s Celsius across parts of the Midlands, eastern, and south-east England. Conditions could then develop into an official heatwave, extending more widely across England and Wales in the following week.
Across Europe, record-breaking temperatures have been widespread, with countries such as the Czech Republic, Germany, Poland, and Denmark recording their hottest days ever in the past week alone. The World Health Organization has linked the recent heatwave to over 1,300 excess deaths since 21 June, including roughly 1,000 in France, where numerous local and national heat records for June were shattered. The death toll is expected to rise once all data from the affected countries are fully compiled. Meanwhile, the intense heat dome responsible for these extreme temperatures has shifted eastward, leaving some relief in western Europe although red extreme heat warnings remain active across Poland, Slovakia, Romania, Serbia, and Croatia, where temperatures are still forecasted to be in the high 30s Celsius
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