How common is a white Christmas where you are?

How common is a white Christmas where you are?

Songs, films, and Christmas cards have long celebrated the magic of a white Christmas. The image of snow-covered landscapes on Christmas Day is deeply embedded in cultural traditions, often romanticized during the festive season. However, despite this widespread dream, the occurrence of snow on Christmas Day in the United Kingdom is actually quite rare for most people, especially when considered on a local level.

The Met Office defines a white Christmas as snow falling at any of its weather stations within the 24 hours of Christmas Day itself. Simply having snow-covered ground without fresh snowfall on that day does not count as a white Christmas under their criteria. Based on this definition, about three out of four Christmases since 1960 have recorded some snowfall somewhere in the UK. Yet, when broken down more locally, instances of snowfall on Christmas Day are uncommon. For example, during the last white Christmas in 2023, snow was only reported at a handful of stations in the Highlands and one in Aberdeenshire.

This classic image of a white Christmas has roots stretching back to the Victorian era, a time when snowy winters were more common than today. It was also during this period that Christmas cards, often depicting snowy scenes, became widely popular—a tradition that persists. While snow on Christmas Day is typical in some parts of North America, in the UK it is much less frequent, though it still happens somewhere in the country most years. Scotland leads in the frequency of white Christmases, with nearly two-thirds of Christmases since 1960 featuring snowfall. Northern Ireland, by contrast, has recorded comparatively few, and it has not had any white Christmases in 14 years. In England, the North West sees the most white Christmases, while London and the South East have rarely seen snow falling on December 25th since 1960.

Looking back at more recent history, 2010 stands out as a year when widespread snow covered the UK on Christmas Day, creating a quintessential winter scene for many. Approximately 80% of weather stations recorded snow lying on the ground, though fewer stations—around 30—actually saw snowfall that day. This contrasts with 2004, when snowfall was recorded at 146 stations. Francesca Di Giuseppi, a scientist who experienced the snowy Christmas in Reading in 2010, described the snowball fights and making a snowman as “actually quite magical.” She noted that the appeal of a white Christmas seems linked to the way snow encourages people to slow down, stay home with family, and appreciate the beauty of nature.

In recent decades, the frequency of widespread white Christmases has diminished. While it is difficult to attribute changes on a single day definitively to climate change, scientists warn that white Christmases are likely to become less common as the UK’s climate continues to warm. The Met Office reports the UK has warmed by about 1°C since the 1950s, resulting in fewer frost and snow days. During the 1990s and early 2000s, there were multiple years when large areas experienced snow on Christmas Day, but since then, the number of stations reporting snowfall on that date has dropped significantly. Improved observation technology means even isolated snowfall is more often recorded today; nonetheless, the overall trend points to less frequent snowy conditions at Christmas. A Met Office spokesperson emphasized that while cold, snowy periods will still occur due to natural variability, the general expectation is for warmer, wetter winters with fewer frost and snow events

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