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The United Kingdom is currently experiencing a blast of Arctic air, resulting in a significant drop in temperatures and prompting warnings for snow and ice. The Met Office has issued yellow severe weather alerts covering Scotland and northern England for Tuesday, highlighting concerns about icy conditions and snowfall. Alongside these, the UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA) has activated amber and yellow cold-health alerts until Friday across parts of northern England and the Midlands, reflecting the increased health risks posed by the cold snap.
Earlier in November, the weather was unusually mild, with temperatures ranging from 3 to 6 degrees Celsius above the average for this time of year. However, this mild pattern has reversed as a northerly airflow brings colder Arctic air, driving temperatures 3 to 6 degrees below the typical mid-November norms. The health alerts issued by the UKHSA focus primarily on vulnerable populations, especially older adults over 65 and those with pre-existing health conditions, but they also warn of possible impacts on younger groups. These warnings emphasize the increased pressure that colder weather can place on social and healthcare services.
Forecasts indicate that rain will move southeast across the UK on Monday night and Tuesday; with air temperatures sufficiently low, this precipitation is expected to turn into snow in some locations. The Met Office’s yellow warning for snow specifically covers northern and eastern Scotland from early Tuesday morning until late afternoon, with predictions of 5 to 10 centimeters of accumulation at higher elevations above 400 meters, and 2 to 5 centimeters at lower altitudes. Snowfall could disrupt travel, especially on high-level routes and in rail services. Additionally, ice warnings are in effect for parts of Scotland and northern England at various times between Monday evening and Tuesday midday. Heavy and frequent snow showers are expected to continue in northern Scotland through Thursday, which could bring further accumulations of up to 20 centimeters above 300 meters, accompanied by strong gusty winds and potential lightning.
Looking ahead, the cold conditions will persist, particularly on Wednesday, when northerly winds are expected to bring snow showers across northern Scotland and, intermittently, to areas including Northern Ireland, eastern England, west Wales, and even some southwestern English moors. These snow showers may be intense, featuring thunderstorms sometimes referred to as ‘thundersnow’. Additional yellow warnings for snow and ice will affect coastal eastern England from early Wednesday morning through Thursday evening, with accumulations potentially reaching 20 centimeters on higher ground and 2 to 5 centimeters at lower levels. Overnight temperatures will fall below freezing, increasing the risk of ice formation. Wednesday night is expected to bring the coldest temperatures of the week, with rural parts of Scotland potentially dropping to around -12 degrees Celsius. While Friday will begin with cold but sunny conditions, a gradual transition toward milder air will occur as a warmer Atlantic system moves in, causing temperatures to rise closer to average by the weekend
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