Auto Amazon Links: No products found. Blocked by captcha.
Wales is facing a potentially paradigm-shifting political landscape as Labour’s long-standing dominance is threatened by Plaid Cymru and Reform, according to recent opinion polls. Former Welsh government minister Mick Antoniw described the latest Senedd opinion poll as a “wake-up call” for Labour in both Wales and Westminster. With support for Labour at a record low of 14%, well behind their competitors, the party is gearing up for a challenging election season.
Historically, Labour has been a formidable force in Welsh politics, winning all six Senedd elections since devolution began in 1999. Additionally, they have prevailed in every UK general election in Wales since 1922. However, recent polling suggests that Plaid Cymru and Reform are positioned to overtake Labour as the leading party in May. A recent ITV Cymru Wales, YouGov, and Cardiff University poll painted a bleak picture for Labour, with Plaid Cymru at 30%, Reform at 29%, and Labour at 14%.
Polling expert Dr. Jac Larner noted that a significant challenge facing Welsh Labour is the narrative suggesting that voting tactically for Plaid Cymru is the best way to stop Reform. This narrative has resulted in many former Labour voters indicating they will vote for Plaid Cymru in the upcoming election. Additionally, the unpopularity of the UK Labour government is also impacting Welsh Labour’s support. First Minister Eluned Morgan has been advocating for a “Red Welsh Way” to distance her administration from the UK Labour government.
Despite the grim poll numbers and internal challenges facing the party, there is still optimism within some circles of Welsh Labour. While some members express concerns about the future, others believe that a focused and positive campaign could turn the tide in their favor. However, the uphill battle for Labour in Wales is evident, and the party is bracing for what could be a historic electoral defeat. Members are grappling with internal dynamics and external pressures as they prepare for a crucial election that could shape the future of Welsh politics
Read the full article from The BBC here: Read More
Auto Amazon Links: No products found. Blocked by captcha.