As we look ahead to politics in 2025, one dominating question emerges: will things start feeling any better? This answer will shape much of the political conversation, from the government’s fortunes to the performance of the Conservatives and other parties. In 2024, Labour had a spectacular general election win, but now the new government has inherited challenging issues and faced blunders of their own, causing much disillusionment. Add a flatlining economy, an impatient electorate, and an unpredictable, volatile world, and politics in 2025 will have much to contend with.
With the inauguration of Donald Trump, who is known for being the most unpredictable man to ever occupy the Oval Office, world politics will be even more turbulent. The Prime Minister may find himself again drawn to the global stage while making an argument that the world stage has a direct impact on the lives of millions in the UK.
Governing in the 2020s is a difficult task, and so is assembling an electable opposition. This rings true now more than ever. Governing is an unforgiving business, which has brought much excitement, along with frustration at mistakes, for Labour’s ministers. While they have a broad support base, their support remains shallow, and they face harsh criticism from the public and poor approval ratings from opinion polls.
The Conservatives, with their new leader Kemi Badenoch, aren’t quite down and out, but privately many Tories fear they have not yet hit rock bottom. With local elections coming up in May, they look more likely to lose seats given their past lacklustre performances. Reform UK, led by Nigel Farage, is a smaller upstart outfit but managed to attract 4.1 million votes in 2019. While winning the next general election may be a fantastical proposition for them, they are building local branches and planning to use them to win more seats at devolved elections.
The SNP had a challenging 2024, but they remain hopeful they can establish clear differences from Labour, and the Greens are building on an increase in party membership to sway more people onto their side. Meanwhile, Plaid Cymru, Independent Alliance, and parties of Northern Ireland, all have their concerns and movements, which can cause ructions for ministers both inside and outside Parliament.
Overall, while 2025 may not be a general election year, it’s expected to be lively with plenty of action and political discourse to look forward to
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