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Forecasters are warning that Hurricane Kirk, a major category 4 storm, could affect the UK’s weather next week. Although the storm is currently 3,000 miles away in the mid-Atlantic and producing winds of 145mph, its remnants may bring disruptive weather to parts of England and Wales. However, details and timings are still uncertain and will depend on whether the hurricane turns to the north-east. Weather forecasters will closely monitor the storm’s behaviour to see how it interacts with the UK’s jet stream and other areas of low pressure in the North Atlantic.
As the hurricane moves north out of the tropics, it will weaken over cooler waters before possibly being swept towards north-west Europe as a deep depression capable of producing strong winds and intense rainfall. However, computer models are struggling to process details due to the extra uncertainty created by vast quantities of tropical moisture and energy. Therefore, confidence in the forecast with regards to the behaviour of the remnants of Hurricane Kirk is currently low.
The impacts of the storm will vary depending on its location, pressure and timing. If its remnants head towards the UK and move to our north, we may experience warmer temperatures with humid, tropical air. If it moves to our south, a colder spell of weather with blustery showers could be possible. However, if the storm tracks right across the UK, there is potential for a spell of disruptive weather with heavy rain and strong winds.
Weather forecasters advise keeping up to date with the latest forecasts and any warnings issued nearer the time. At this stage, different computer models indicate different timings and possible impacts of the storm over the next week or so
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