How to measure dissent within Labour's landslide majority


The recent controversy over the winter fuel payment at Westminster has sparked discussion about what constitutes a true political jeopardy. While many votes in the Commons over the years may have put government policies and future leadership at risk, the winter fuel payment was not one of them due to the government’s landslide majority in parliament. This majority allowed for a breadth of grumbles to be absorbed without endangering the government’s future.

Though around 50 Labour MPs were absent during the vote, their party claimed this was typical of voting patterns since the election, with just 12 of those absent having an “unauthorised absence”. However, further investigation has shown that around 20 Labour MPs who had previously opposed the policy did not vote for it, indicating that a significant number may have found the vote deeply uncomfortable.

Despite the controversy, the government won by a large margin due to their overwhelming majority, with only one Labour MP explicitly voting against the government. The government argued that announcing the policy early allowed for pensioners to apply for pension credit and potentially still receive the payment. However, for many, this justification did not assuage concerns about taking money away from people of modest means, and the government may face further criticism in the future.

Ultimately, the controversy highlights two important lessons: a government with a large majority can push through controversial ideas despite opposition, and tough decisions are likely to continue for Sir Keir Starmer and his Labour Party in the coming months and years

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